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Publication year: 2011
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, In Press, Corrected Proof, Available online 22 January 2011
John, Robinson , Sarah, Burch , Sonia, Talwar , Meg, O'Shea , Mike, Walsh
This paper describes recent progress in the utilization of participatory scenario-based backcasting approaches to sustainability research that blend quantitative and qualitative analyses in order to explore alternative climate change futures, as undertaken in a range of academic, government, and private sector projects in the Lower Mainland of British Columbia, Canada.
These projects reveal that buy-in to policy proposals may be enhanced by participation, but there is a risk of participants being overwhelmed by the complexity of the choices they are being asked to make. Furthermore, tools are grounded in a process, which must itself be the explicit focus of attention...
Research Highlights:Â â–º Second order backcasting is explicitly normative and participant-led. â–º It facilitates social learning about consequences of initial preferences. â–º It may enhance our ability to explore complex, uncertain, and value-laden issues. â–º Frontier of backcasting is increasingly participatory and makes use of visual tools. â–º Possible tradeoff between number of people engaged and depth of discussion/learning.